Wednesday, October 1, 2014

Severe Weather has returned?

Wednesday and Thursday offer Severe weather chances for Oklahoma, so let's get to it:

WEDNESDAY:
Latest Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center:


Yellow area is area of concern. Image from the SPC Website:http://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Today we are looking at the potential for storms to fire in the afternoon. These storms will pose mainly an Hail/Wind risk, but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out if a storm can stay discrete. Think the best chances for storms will be near the OK/KS Border.

Click this link for a look at the latest radar: Oklahoma Radar (courtesy of the Oklahoma Mesonet)

THURSDAY:
Thursday is the day I think to be the best shot we have at seeing any type of severe weather. Here's the latest outlook from the SPC:

What we are looking at here is storms forming along a cold front. The Line/Vertical nature of these storms will help keep the tornado threat low, but the wind/hail threat remains.

Here's one models idea of how this event will play out, lets take a look. These are only model images and not a forecast. These images represent what the radar could look like. This gives us a broad idea what to expect.

*2PM:
Storms begin to develop along the front.

Image from Weatherbell.com
*4PM:
Storms continue to develop, they will more than likely be strong or severe by this time.


Image from Weatherbell.com
*5PM:
Line continues marching east. Hail/Wind threat is the main concern.


Image from Weatherbell.com

*7PM:
Line continues marching east and eventually moves out of Oklahoma by the overnight hours. Expect cooler and drier air to filter in after the frontal passage.



Image from Weatherbell.com
*Note that this is not set in stone. These are only model images and DO NOT represent a full forecast. I am simply giving you a broad idea what to expect and how it COULD play out. The locations and timing of this is VERY likely to change. I will try to update this post as that happens but more frequent updates will be posted on my Twitter and Facebook page.

My facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/JordanoWX
Twitter: https://twitter.com/jordanowx

You can always get the very latest information here: NWS Tulsa

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