Wednesday, December 23, 2015

A Big Storm on the Horizon?

With the mayhem of the holiday season ongoing, thought it would be good to write up a blog post with my thoughts on the weather the next week or two.

First and foremost, here is a look at Christmas Eve and Christmas Day:

Christmas Eve:



Christmas Day:


After Christmas, things start to get interesting. A strong storm system moving into the state could bring lots of heavy rain and the potential for a wintry mix. One thing that is for sure, there will be lots of moisture and flooding will be possible in many areas. There are a few other things that I'm pretty confident will happen.

1) Parts of Eastern Oklahoma could see significant rainfall. (up to 7" locally possible) 
2) Parts of Western Oklahoma could see heavy snow that could impact travel.

The timing for this system is for it to start on Saturday and last through Monday. 

The biggest question right now is how much cold air is in place when the system starts to move out on Monday. Should temperatures be at the freezing mark in Oklahoma City and Tulsa, things could get a little messy. 

The global models are not in very good agreement at the moment on what will happen. Part of the reason for that is because the system is not even on shore yet. That leads to an extremely low confidence forecast. Anyone who is saying that 12-24" of snow are going to blanket the metro areas Monday is really going out on a limb at this point. 

Hopefully, the next few days some better consistency shows up and it the details will become clearer.

There is absolutely no reason to panic. Timing and small changes in the forecast can greatly alter the impacts to any particular area. 

Either way, I'll be posting updates on Social Media and will try to write blog posts when I can. You can find links to my Social Media below.

Follow Jordan Overton on Twitter: @JordanoWX
Follow Jordan Overton on Facebook: Jordan Overton


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